History Suggests Markets May Suffer Further

In yesterday’s Financial Times, John Authers penned an in-depth article questioning the notion of “stocks for the long run” (never did like that Jeremy Siegel) and setting off some discussion among market bloggers. I’ve never paid much attention to general market theories and a study can be devised to support any hypothesis - value, growth/momentum, [...]

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Will Commodities Lead The Way?

I wanted to highlight two articles in the last two days’ Financial Times:
“Commodities Face ‘Seven Thin Years’”
“Baltic Dry [Index] Sees Biggest One-Day Rise in 25 years.”
The first article summarizes the views of Michael Farmer, founder of the Red Kite hedge fund.  He’s predicting a long period of low commodity prices and surplus warehouse stocks [...]

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Media Appearance: Commodities Bubble & Chesapeake Energy

I did a podcast interview with Derek Simon at iStockAnalyst. We discussed a variety of subjects from my blog to oil prices and a little discussion re CHK:
http://www.istockanalyst.com/podcast/podcast.xml (Dec 15 2008 podcast)
It’s been a few years since I’ve done any media appearances (back in my political days). I’m not eager to listen to myself [...]

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Market Commentary Part 2 (or Ball Watching)

I start with an analogy…I used to be a big fan of that TV show, Friends but toward the end of its run, I got really bored with the show and couldn’t have cared less when it came off the air.  And my least favorite character was Joey, so I had absolutely no interest [...]

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Portfolio Performance: +9.6% YTD through July 2008

Click here to view the spreadsheet containing all disclosures for my complete equity portfolio, including initial entry points, YTD returns, total returns, etc.
THE ENLIGHTENED-AMERICAN PORTFOLIO SPREADSHEET

Enlightened-American Portfolio: +9.6% YTD (including dividends)
DJIA: -14.2%
Nasdaq: -12.3%
S&P 500: -13.7%
DJ WIlshire 5000: -12.6%
Reuters 2000 (smallcap): -6.7%

Due to the commodities correction currently underway, the portfolio performance has dropped considerably from +18.4% [...]

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Comments on Portfolio Earnings and Oil Bubble.

Apologies to regular readers for the slow week. We are moving this weekend and between that, research on various stocks (more on this below) and my obsession with the Democratic primary, I haven’t had much time for posting.
I haven’t posted my reviews of some of the portfolio’s earnings reports lately but I can say [...]

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