Posted by Davy Bui on January 30th, 2008 in Market Commentary
Sorry for the absence but it couldn’t be helped — docs think it was a passed gall stone combined with an antibiotic-induced pancreatitis. I haven’t eaten anything since Thursday.
Luckily, they had cable but I’ve got to be honest — CNBC is a wasteland during market hours. Fast Money and Cramer were the only [...]
Posted by Davy Bui on January 22nd, 2008 in Market Commentary
The Fed blows it…again.
Before I could even get back from the gym, the Fed announced a 3/4 rate cut. While financial players worldwide were calling for them to do something, this is the wrong move. I’ll flesh it out in more detail in a later post but the short summary:
In life, timing is [...]
Posted by Davy Bui on January 10th, 2008 in Gurus, Investment Strategies, Market Commentary, Stock Research
The European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BOE) both decided to keep rates unchanged last night. This only puts more pressure on the Fed.
Several commentators have noted (and I agree) that the Fed needs the cooperation of other central banks if Bernanke and co. wish to continue this cycle of rate-cutting without [...]
Posted by Davy Bui on December 31st, 2007 in Market Commentary, Pundits
Dawn Bennett of Bennett Financial Services just appeared on Bloomberg and nonchalantly mentioned expectations of the 10-year note coming down to 2.25% in 2008. She also asserted that there was no inflation — only phantom inflation. She used the ridiculous comparison of gas prices in the US to gas prices in the UK [...]
Posted by Davy Bui on December 27th, 2007 in Market Commentary, Pundits
Scott Minor (sp?), CIO of Guggenheim Partners, appeared on Bloomberg’s Final Word program today talking about interest rates. According to him, once the Fed gets the 10-year note down to 2.5%, the housing market will see buyers coming back to the table.
Now I don’t disagree that 2.5% long-term rates will bring buyers back (including [...]
Posted by Davy Bui on December 11th, 2007 in Market Commentary
Obviously, the Fed will cut today. Whether it be 25 or 50 bp, I’m leaning toward the latter but really, I’m not that vested in today’s decision.
I’m positioned to benefit in the intermediate-term from the Fed’s obvious easing cycle. Whether that happens today or over the course of the next year isn’t important [...]