The Danger of Extrapolating: Teen Fashion Spending Under Pressure; Buffett Calls Stagflation

Bloomberg reports on teens cutting back on clothes purchases amid higher gas prices and worsening job prospects. Back in May, I posted a quick note on American Eagle Outfitters (or click here for the full valuation report in pdf format). In my report, I was a little squishy on my assessment of AEO [...]

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How Much Can You Know? What Pabrai Didn’t Know Hurt Him Badly

A couple of interesting Bloomberg links for readers this morning.
First, the recommended Open Exchange program (weekday mornings 8am PST) interviewed one of my favorite money managers, Mohnish Pabrai. I caught most of the program but missed the beginning. I will probably go back and listen to it today as I am curious if [...]

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Imagination Is More Important Than Knowledge

The title of this post is taken from the famous quote by Albert Einstein and that principle is one I’ve always tried to live by. I think it ties in with an article by James Altucher published in the Financial Times a few months back about the usefulness (or lack thereof) of college. [...]

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Portfolio Performance: +11.5% YTD as of 03/07/2008

As always, you can view the complete portfolio here:
Enlightened-American Portfolio
Last August during the first major credit dislocation, my portfolio took a bigger hit than the broader market which really disturbed me. During that time, the gold and energy stocks sold off really hard (and bounced back even harder) and while I expect volatility in [...]

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Pre-Market Open Thoughts

The market opens in a few minutes but Asia took another drubbing overnight, Europe seems to be calmer though.
During the last market sell-off in August, I was quite dismayed when my portfolio performance dropped slightly below the leading indices (which at the time was the Dow, if I recall). Now everything I’ve ever learned [...]

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